Dubai Real Estate to See 50,000 units in 2010 - Industry Analyst

As per the statement of Charles Neil, the new CEO of Landmark properties, merely half of the units out of the 50,000 units will be available for rent.

Neilsaid, “In 2008 and 2009 the delivery has been pretty steady at about 30,000 units a year. In 2010, it looks as though it will jump to 50,000 units, of which villas will be 20 per cent."

After 2011, fewer villas will start coming on to the market and after 2012, Landmark may see scarcities. He added, “If you're looking at villa prices, they actually went up a bit during the third quarter because there was no finance available. Now that finance has eased, prices and rents in places such as The Palms, Springs and Meadows went up between eight and five per cent, respectively."

Neil commented on the future by telling the sources, “The big issue for next year is what's happening with supply. In 2008 and 2009 the delivery of supply has been pretty steady at about 30,000 units a year. In 2010, it looks as though it will jump to 50,000 units, of which villas will be 20 per cent. And then in 2011, the number of villas drops to five per cent and in 2012 to three per cent, so there are very little villas coming on. You can see a shortage in the villa market."

"With apartments there will be a big surplus next year. The question is how much of that will translate into inventory. Today, the housing stock is about 330,000 units, which will go up to 380,000 in 2010. You need probably a population of 150,000 to fill that. Now where is that going to come from? The answer is there could probably be a two to three per cent growth in Dubai's economy next year."