Dubai World Episode Gives Boost to Investor’s Confidence

According to investment bankers at Shuaa Capital, the confidence in the air has built up amongst the investors around the Gulf region. They optimistically predict the region’s economic condition would take its stride towards the rising end in the next six months. One of the leading investment bank in UAE, Shauaa Capital submitted its December GCC investor sentiment report which reflected the fall in investors confidence due the reconstruction of the debt on 25^th Nov’09 by Dubai World. But, positivity has returned after reimbursement of $4.1 billion by Sukuk by Nakheel, PJSC. It is observed, since then there has been a turn around in the market sentiment since the debt announcement of Dubai World was made in November.

Dubai World and its creditors have met to reconstruct the maturing liabilities worth $22 billion, where the final plan would be submitted, in early January, to the lender. There was a speculation over Government’s support to help the distressed firms. Shuaa Capital conducted couple of surveys. One was before Nakheel Sukuk’s repayment and one was after the dues were settled. The Shuaa report revealed progress in GCC economic conditions over the next 6 months after Nakheel’s repayment. The polls show more investors are expected to invest in GCC market and BRIC in the next six months. It is estimated the regional stock market would generate gains in the coming 6 months, where the biggest rise is expected in Abu Dhabi which was projected by 35.5% of investors, 12.9% for Dubai and 13.1% for Nasdaq Dubai.

Property Investors Can Be Protected from Aftermath of Crisis- New Real Estate Laws

A new law is being worked upon by The Real Estate Regulatory Agency in Dubai which will give new rights to property investors. The law has not been revealed but according to a spokesperson, it is going to be comprehensive and seek to protect the investors.

‘Along with the Dubai Land Department we are studying a new law to protect the rights of real estate investors. Our ultimate goal is ensure justice and set up proper rules and regulations to regulate the relationship between developers and investors,’ the spokesman said. He also added that a draft will be ready to be sent to the Executive Office in order to get the approval by the first quarter of 2010.

The new law is expected to recollect the confidence among the investors of the Emirate followed by the exposure that the owners of developers Nakheel, Dubai World, has huge debts of $59 billion and is attempting to restructure some of it.

It is expected that the real estate industry will welcome more transparencies further.

According to Jason Manolopoulos, managing partner of boutique investment firm Dromeus Capital, the current crisis has raised concerns over corporate governance and transparency to a much higher level.

‘Investors should have been wary about the fundamentals of Nakheel. Everyone was fully aware of the overcapacity on Dubai real estate

I think 2009 will be remembered as the year when the idea that an implicit guarantee should be priced only slightly wider than an explicit guarantee was relegated to history,’ he explained.

‘Investors will have to differentiate, and the selling of companies on the basis of their connections and strategic importance will no longer work,’ he added.

‘It's clear there will be job cuts but it's too early to know the extent of it,’ Raj Madha, an analyst at regional investment bank EFG-Hermes said.

Recovery of Off-plan Ventures Unlikely for Two Years.

The developers in Dubai need to think over quality and winning back investors smashed confidence in order to recover the off-plan real estate Dubai market which is unlikely to pick up before 2011 even after this move. The investors who have been deferred by the cancellations or delays also need to be won by the developers with tying pricing strategies.

Sana Kapadia who is the Vice President of Equity Research at EFG-Hermes said, “Investors have been holding back payments because construction is not starting and developers can’t move forward because investors are not paying, that is the reality of the current situation. The recovery of the off-plan market in the United Arab Emirates will happen only from early 2011.”

However some also think that it might take longer. According to Chet Riley, Vice President of Real Estate Equities Research at Nomura International believes it will be early 2012.

‘The over supply of residential units in the property market needs to be absorbed in the next two to three years. It is unlikely that the off-plan recovery will happen before 2012,’ he said.

The new investors need to be won by the developers with far more than mere promises as their confidence is being highly smashed.

According to experts, the tie-ups with mortgage companies and banks may help to ensure optimum funding in place and finally avoid the present ferocious state. They also emphasize on working more strongly with regulatory authorities to ensure the interests of the investors and to build their confidence once again.

“Aspects such as construction-linked payment plan will help to alleviate the financial burden of holding real estate if the project is delayed beyond the proposed completion date,” said Jones.

Kapadia also revealed that the blame for fuelling the assumption and spinning that led to the downfall of the off plan market goes to the developers themselves.

“Developers must avoid the trap of speculative payment plans that is 2 to 5% initial deposit versus the bulk at completion.” He said.

Hesham Delineates the Ways to Maintain Price Rise

With Dubai real estate market coming back on its track, Hesham Elfar of Coldwell Banker UAE delineated the postulates to ensure that it stays the same way.

Dubai developers along with the realty agents are wondering after the watching the price rise in properties that whether the market has really bottomed out. Commenting on this Hesham Elfar, CEO of Coldwell Banker UAE, said, “One thing is for sure, if we have not reached the bottom, we are very close to the bottom."

According to Hesham’s predictions, there may be a further plunge in prices before things progress. "In the next six months, villa prices should remain stable while apartments might see a drop of 5-7 per cent due to excess supply expected in the coming months. With commercial properties we are expecting a downtrend in prices, also due to upcoming supply."

The players of the realty world however, must not become too contented. Hesham believes that there is a lot more to be done before Dubai can spring back. "Firstly, the residence visa issue should be re-evaluated, as this has lured a lot of people into investing in real estate in Dubai. They have replaced the three-year visa with a six-month multiple entry visa, which is expensive and requires a lot of paperwork. It makes life more complicated; with this visa people cannot buy a car here or place their kids in school. It's very important to resolve this issue, because it will attract foreign investors."

Hesham added that in order to fuel the commercial market, incentives should be offered to the companies to set up shops in the UAE by the governments. "When companies set up offices in a country they create job opportunities, housing requirements and increase consumer spending -this is important for the economy. They should especially offer incentives to financial institutions and trading companies."

But primarily, the industry needs lucidity, he added. “They need to have clear, transparent regulations in real estate and ensure that buyers' rights are protected."

Salwan will now Manage Executive Tower at Business Bay

Comprehensive property management services will be provided to the Executive Towers development at Business Bay. Dubai Properties has appointed Salwan for that matter as it will now be responsible for managing this 12 tower self contained Dubai real estate development for an area of 8.7 million sq ft. Executive Tower comprises of 10 residential towers, a Business Bay hotel and a freehold office tower. Dubai Properties has also mandated Salwan to extend the leasehold options for Executive Tower units. An amount of AED 15.38 per sq ft will be levied as service charge for maintaining the landscaped areas, indoor car parks and various infrastructure works within the development.

CEO of Salwan, Saeed Bushalat said: “As one of the leading property management companies, we are pleased to extend our offerings to Executive Towers. Our value added services are designed to exceed client expectations while ensuring the long term plans and sustainability of the development. We look forward to a fruitful relationship with the property owners and retailers at the development.” As the portfolio for properties around Dubai is growing Salwan currently owns and manages approximately 18,000 commercial as well as residential units at different Dubai locations.

An official spokesperson for Dubai Properties said: “In our committed endeavor to provide competitive services for offering a niche lifestyle experience, we have appointed Salwan Property Management to manage the Executive Towers that is quickly moving towards its handover phase. We believe Salwan has the expertise, the capabilities and the resources to provide premium services to the Executive Towers community and ensure the sustainable maintenance of the development.”

For Dubai properties, Executive Towers is the first project in Business Bay and following the successful release of Jumeirah Beach Residence a second major freehold project is to be handed over.

Steady Shift Shown by Dubai Properties

A Dubai based property consultant, Sherwoods Independent Property Consultants, has announced that Dubai real estate market has entered a new phase which is showing the signboard of recovery. It has been announced that a steady shift has been seen in Dubai property prices thereby, prices are moving towards a more reasonable level. Moreover, in starting of the 4^th quarter of the year 2009, more concrete growth signs in terms of real estate investments and property prices are expected to be seen. It has been predicted that the coming year 2010, will be a year for stabilization and a specific new direction for the real estate sector.

Sherwoods credited the most important players of the industry for quickly adjusting to the changes in the market environment. The MD, Sherwoods Independent Property Consultants, Iseeb Rehman said: “I would say that the prices have been corrected to reasonable levels, which has created more value offerings to buyers and investors. The positive signs we are seeing should result in more tangible proof of growth around the 4^th quarter of 2009, during which property prices will further stabilize and we can also expect a marked increase in property investment.”

In 2010, Dubai will get transformed into a stable market as far as property investments are concerned. The available property prices today, are the best for long term investments and the investor is expected to make good profits out of it. At this point in time, investors those who want to invest in property sector for short term are not advisable to do so. Sherwoods acknowledged the remarkable performance of the property sector in a situation of global economic downturn and Dubai’s decision to enhance the infrastructure in the emirate.

In Q3 Dubai Rents are expected to Decline Further

Dubai is expected to face the signs of rent stabilization. According to landmark advisor the rents for residential property units in real estate in Dubai will further decline in the third quarter. The Director of Research, Landmark Advisory, Jesse Downs said: “For the Dubai market, there are distinct signs of market stabilization and a return of confidence from end-users. Sale prices have even increased in some cases. This increase is largely due to the dynamics of each development.”

According to the Landmark, the sharpest decline was seen in the apartments and there was an oversupply of this segment because of combining of the economic downturn and quality of high-rise apartments completed in the year 2008. Earlier, price differentiation was based on factors such as location, quality finishing and views etc; however they have now been replaced with other factors. The developments which are experiencing price increase are smaller villa developments. Among end-users these developments follow value recognition in terms of its quality, amenities, layout, location and all. If we compare Landmark’s May guide with that of June, it shows that Palm Jumeirah has now got stable rents while a fall of 7 to 25 percent could be seen in Dubai Marina studios.

Jesse Downs believe that distressed sale opportunities are largely furnished as the sellers have refused to lower down the prices which already exist. For sough-after residential developments with limited availability of homes, buyers are paying high rates in some cases. Rent guide is developed by using the broker survey, mystery shopping and transactional data. She further added: “Dubai tenants will see even more opportunities to upgrade their accommodation as rents will continue to fall. However, high-demand areas will experience a faster rent rebound as deal-seekers rush in.”

Discovery Garden Property has got a New Rate Fixed by Nakheel Real Estate Firm

Discovery Gardens is a well structured community comprising of six themed communities developed by Nakheel. The community offers an area of 26 million square foot freehold residential community. Its construction has been inspired by garden living developed in the heart of New Dubai. Nakheel is one of the leading Dubai real estate developers and has recently planned a revised budget for Discovery Garden community. Before re-setting the property rate, the revised price has been agreed formally with RERA, Dubai property market regulator. This price change will mean an approximate reduction of Dhs5 per square foot in service changes for homeowners.

Managing Director of Nakheel Asset Management and Design (NAMAD) Abdulrahman Kalantar said: “When we first set the service charges for Discovery Gardens, they were based on our best estimates for this new Nakheel community. Following a lengthy review, we have been able to take advantage of recent reductions in the cost of goods and services, which has in turn reduced our overall service charge budgets.”

Nakheel made some necessary preparations with following the introduction of the new strata law in April, 2008. Once the regulations are being finalized by the Dubai Land Department (DLD) these preparations are to register the Owner’s Association with RERA, these necessary preparations are to register the Owner’s Association with RERA. Moreover, these new lowered service charge rates will be backdated to 1^st January, 2009. If there will be any rebates for householders they are being credited against next year’s service charges effective from October 1^st, 2009.

Foundation Works Awarded for Dubai Real Estate Project

Khuyool Investments is a leading property developer in the UAE awarded Delta Foundation the works for Abjar Tower which is a real estate project based in Dubai. The foundation works for this is supposed to get completed in the first quarter of the year 2010. After the groundwork gets completed, phase one of the construction will begin. Chairman of Khuyool Investments, Engineer Fahad Ali Mousa said: “This announcement is a very significant step for us as it reflects our strong commitment to all investors. We will go ahead with all our projects as planned with firm determination.”

Currently Khuyool Investments is being involved in developing many other real estate projects across locations in Dubai. The CEO of Khuyoon Investments, Engineer Kussay Al-Sheikh added: “The appointment of Delta Company was in line with the company's efforts to ensure the quality and fast pace of the project's construction, keeping in mind that Abjar Tower is the tallest project within Jumeirah Village South.”

This tallest tower in Jumeirah Village South is uniquely designed incorporated with great luxury thus, enabling a luxurious lifestyle. This iconic property has become a famous landmark and is greatly inspired by its surroundings. Abjar Tower offers a blend of elegance and luxury with distinct glamour. Various other real estate developments are going on a large scale but this property project seems to be special. The CEO of Delta Foundation, Dr. Ibrahim Al-Banna embodied his organization at the signing ceremony of the agreements.

Dubai Land Deals Reach Dh2.15b

Last week in Dubai the total worth of the land transactions reached an amount of Dh2.15 billion. In return the sales also got exceeded by Dh1.41 billion. According to the Land Department during this period the total value of mortgages was Dh736.89 million. Al Ruwayyah was the most valuable plot and it was sold for Dh207.2 million. As the week ended, The Department registered a total of 81 transactions. During this week Dubai real estate has shown vast improvement by delivering such prominent sales and registrations. Apart from the Al Ruwayyah, the next two prominent sales were shown for plots in Emirates Hills-3 and on the Sheikh Zayed Road.

These two sales were again tremendously huge as the plot on Sheikh Zayed road is acquired for Dh124 million and the one on the Emirates Hills is for Dh20 million. As far as week sales are concerned, the area of the Emirates Hills was the most active among all. Not only this, but Palm Jumeirah followed 14 sales. The period was under review during which it got disclosed that mortgages worth Dh524.86 million were registered, out of which mortgage for Marsa Dubai was the most significant with Dh214 million. Moreover, area in Al Jadaf was another for Dh94 million. Apart from all these sales and Dubai land transactions, by value Al Ruwayyah recorded the highest turnover followed by Sheikh Zayed Road for Dh124.01 million and last but not the least Emirates Hills-3 at Dh59.68 million.

In Al Ruwayyah the largest area which was sold was a 430,338 square foot plot. On Sheikh Zayed road a plot of 64,586 was acquired whereas, a 40,000 square feet area got disposed of in Jumeirah-3 for Dh15 million. This was the report and data acquired related to property transactions and registrations by Dubai Land Department.

Dubai’s Airport Development Investment has Increased

Dubai has confirmed an amount of Dh63b to be increased in Dubai airport development project. So far an amount of $7.2 billion have already been invested in this Dubai real estate project. Despite of these challenging times, the infrastructure in Dubai is still going on for that matter. President of the Dubai Civil Aviation Authority and Chairman of Dubai Airports, Shaikh Ahmad Bin Saeed Al Maktoum said: “These are challenging times for aviation. Passenger and cargo traffic has dropped off dramatically in most parts of the world leading to billions in industry losses. Dubai has been a beacon of light during these turbulent times. During the first quarter Dubai Airports recorded 2.1 per cent passenger traffic growth.”

In order to expand Dubai International Airport, an amount of $7.2 billion have already been invested in it. The expansion of Dubai International Airport includes a second concourse which got opened in the year 2008 and Terminal 3. This all has been done to increase the airport’s capacity to around 60 million passengers per annum. Shaikh Ahmad further added: “Dubai has been a beacon of light during these turbulent times. During the first quarter Dubai Airports recorded 2.1 per cent passenger traffic growth. That increased to 6.5 per cent in April and 7.1 per cent in May. In total, Dubai International forecasts a four to five per cent increase in passenger traffic for the first half of this year.”

The expansion also encompasses construction of Concourse 3 which is yet to be completed. It is expected to get completed in late 2011. In return the total airport capacity will get a boost to 75 million passengers every year. The government of Dubai is heading forward with its long term vision for the betterment of travelers and of course for the betterment of Dubai airport as well.

Dubai Real Estate Recovery by Q3 of 2010

Real estate has started showing good signs and it signals the increased activity on the real estate front. These signs are showing that the property sector in Dubai is likely to get improve a little by late 2010. Dubai is currently facing global liquidity crunch which will take some time to vanish off completely. Currently the grip of this liquidity crunch is tight enough. The CEO of Asteco, Elaine Jones recently said that: “The recent announcement of the issuance of a six-month visa to property purchasers is a very short notice for buyers to stay in the market. It should be for a longer time. One cannot do much without a visa in this city. One cannot apply for Dubai Electricity and Water Authority facilities and there is no point in selling a property if you cannot have people live in it.”

Steven Henderson, who is a partner at law firm Clifford Chance said: “The next few months will be very quiet with little real estate activity in Dubai. However, by the end of this year we could see a number of consolidations of developer companies through mergers and acquisitions. Recovery can be expected towards the third quarter of 2010."

Thus, Dubai real estate is on the new road for its recovery and the real estate market will soon witness some green shoots of recovery according to a panel of experts in the industry.